Bruins @ Hurricanes
Simulated 100,000 times
| Team | Typical | Real |
|---|---|---|
| BOS Bruins | 3 | 1 |
| CAR Hurricanes | 4 | 2 |
✓ The sim had it. The Hurricanes won 62% of the runs, and won the real game, CAR by 1.
Every run’s final margin
Typical · CAR by 1
Real · CAR by 1
← BOS by 6+ 0 CAR by 6+ →
Player by player
The share of all 100,000 runs in which each player scored a goal, and had at least a point. G and A: what they really did.
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 36% | 64% | 0 | 1 |
| JJ Peterka | 21% | 44% | 0 | 0 |
| Pavel Zacha | 16% | 41% | 1 | 0 |
| Mason Lohrei | 13% | 30% | 0 | 0 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 12% | 30% | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Geekie | 11% | 48% | 0 | 0 |
| Will Borgen | 10% | 22% | 0 | 0 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 9% | 32% | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 9% | 36% | 0 | 0 |
| Frederic Brunet | 8% | 26% | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Clifton | 5% | 12% | – | – |
| Jonathan Aspirot | 4% | 4% | – | – |
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Stankoven | 36% | 49% | 0 | 0 |
| Sebastian Aho | 33% | 68% | 1 | 0 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 32% | 56% | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson Blake | 28% | 65% | 1 | 0 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 24% | 50% | 0 | 1 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 19% | 52% | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Walker | 18% | 48% | 0 | 0 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 17% | 35% | 0 | 0 |
| K'Andre Miller | 15% | 33% | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Martinook | 15% | 42% | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 15% | 28% | 0 | 0 |
| Seth Jarvis | 7% | 20% | 0 | 0 |
The typical game
Not an average: one real run out of the 100,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. BOS 3, CAR 4.
Skaters
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Geekie | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| David Pastrnak | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| JJ Peterka | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Connor Clifton | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Fraser Minten | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Svechnikov | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sebastian Aho | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| William Carrier | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jackson Blake | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Seth Jarvis | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Logan Stankoven | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Goalies
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 38 | 34 |
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | 22 | 19 |
What went in
- Shots each team takes vs. what tonight's opponent allows; finishing vs. tonight's goalies (Jeremy Swayman / Pyotr Kochetkov, projected); power plays at real rates. ESPN, 2026-27.
- Tested on last season (Feb–Apr 2026, 449 games it never saw): 58% of winners.
- 100,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.
The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.
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