NFL Sun, Oct 25 Final

Browns @ Titans

Simulated 1,000,000 times

Team	Typical	Real
CLE Browns	17	27
TEN Titans	16	24

CLE 51% of runs won 49% TEN

✓ The sim had it. The Browns won 51% of the runs, and won the real game, CLE by 3.

Every run’s final margin

Typical · CLE by 1

Real · CLE by 3

← CLE by 35+ 0 TEN by 35+ →

Final margin in each of 1,000,000 runs. Taller bar, more runs ended that way.

Player by player

The bar is the middle 80% of runs, the yellow tick the median, the dot what really happened.

Passing yards

0350 SimReal

Deshaun Watson CLE

230 308

Cam Ward TEN

215 181

Rushing yards

0150 SimReal

Quinshon Judkins CLE

45 96

About 3.6% of runs went that high.

Jaleel McLaughlin CLE

6 0

Tony Pollard TEN

69 129

About 6.1% of runs went that high.

Receiving yards

0150 SimReal

KC Concepcion CLE

48 129

About 2.4% of runs went that high.

Denzel Boston CLE

43 27

Harold Fannin Jr. CLE

40 91

About 9.6% of runs went that high.

Jerry Jeudy CLE

22 21

Carnell Tate TEN

67 69

Wan'Dale Robinson TEN

55 7

About 6.0% of runs went that low.

Gunnar Helm TEN

16 24

Elic Ayomanor TEN

16 44

The typical game

Not an average: one real run out of the 1,000,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. CLE 17, TEN 16.

Browns
Player	PASS	RUSH	REC	TD
Deshaun Watson QB	25/33 · 239	4 · 7		2
Quinshon Judkins RB		14 · 38	3 · 49	1
KC Concepcion WR			6 · 64
Harold Fannin Jr. TE			5 · 48
Denzel Boston WR			4 · 30
Jerry Jeudy WR			3 · 16
Tylan Wallace WR			1 · 13
Blake Whiteheart TE			1 · 12
Jaleel McLaughlin RB		2 · 5	2 · 7	1

Titans
Player	PASS	RUSH	REC	TD
Cam Ward QB	17/28 · 214	5 · 14		1
Tony Pollard RB		22 · 64	1 · 45
Wan'Dale Robinson WR			5 · 58
Carnell Tate WR			6 · 53	1
Daniel Bellinger TE			1 · 19
Chimere Dike WR			1 · 19
Elic Ayomanor WR			2 · 18
Gunnar Helm TE			1 · 2

What went in

Plays: every snap both teams (and their opponents) have run in 2026, ESPN play-by-play.
Out: Audric Estime, Taylen Green, Joe Royer, Bub Means · Kylen Granson, Calvin Ridley, Nicholas Singleton, Tyjae Spears. Injury report as of Sunday morning.
1,000,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.

The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.

@million_runs on TikTok