Bucks @ 76ers
Simulated 10,000 times
| Team | Typical | Real |
|---|---|---|
| MIL Bucks | 109 | 116 |
| PHI 76ers | 108 | 127 |
✗ A miss. The Bucks won 51% of the runs, but the 76ers won the real game, PHI by 11. PHI won by that much or more in 26% of runs.
Every run’s final margin
Player by player
The bar is the middle 80% of runs, the yellow tick the median, the dot what really happened. 5 of 16 landed within 3 points of the sim.
34 of 10,000 runs went that low.
573 of 10,000 runs went that high.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
986 of 10,000 runs went that high.
289 of 10,000 runs went that low.
288 of 10,000 runs went that low.
489 of 10,000 runs went that low.
The typical game
Not an average: one real run out of the 10,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. MIL 109, PHI 108.
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 18 | 5 | 4 | 7-15 | 2-6 |
| Ryan Rollins | 20 | 6 | 5 | 7-13 | 3-6 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9-18 | 2-4 |
| Myles Turner | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| AJ Green | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Kel'el Ware | 6 | 14 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-2 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 7 | 11 | 5 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-6 |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 22 | 4 | 3 | 8-16 | 2-5 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3-13 | 1-8 |
| Jaylen Brown | 27 | 8 | 1 | 12-17 | 2-3 |
| Joel Embiid | 13 | 10 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 11 | 4 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Dean Wade | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Caleb Love | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Justin Edwards | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
What went in
- Players: 2025-26 play-by-play (any team; 2024-25 too for anyone with under 20 games) + this season so far, ESPN.
- Out: LeBron James, Barlow, Fall, Hukporti. Wade (day-to-day) plays.
- 10,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.
The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.
@million_runs on TikTokThe list
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