NHL Thu, Oct 29 Final

Blue Jackets @ Hurricanes

Simulated 100,000 times

Team	The sim’s call	Real
CBJ Blue Jackets	2	2
CAR Hurricanes	5	3

CBJ 31% of runs won 69% CAR

✓ The sim had it. The Hurricanes won 69% of the runs, and won the real game, CAR by 1.

Wild card · 1 in 14 runs

Pyotr Kochetkov: shutout

Didn’t hit. Real: CBJ 2, CAR 3.

Every run’s final margin

The sim’s call · CAR by 3

Real · CAR by 1

← CBJ by 6+ 0 CAR by 6+ →

Final margin in each of 100,000 runs. Taller bar, more runs ended that way.

Player by player

The share of all 100,000 runs in which each player scored a goal, and had at least a point. G and A: what they really did.

Blue Jackets
Player	Goal	Point	G	A
Adam Fantilli	30%	43%	0	0
Kent Johnson	28%	51%	1	0
Zach Werenski	24%	63%	0	1
Denton Mateychuk	20%	28%	1	0
Matthew Knies	19%	41%	0	0
Charlie Coyle	17%	57%	0	1
Cole Sillinger	16%	35%	0	0
Mathieu Olivier	14%	22%	0	0
Valeri Nichushkin	12%	44%	0	0
Sean Monahan	12%	27%	0	1
Damon Severson	7%	29%	0	0
Erik Gudbranson	5%	14%	0	0

Hurricanes
Player	Goal	Point	G	A
Sebastian Aho	40%	73%	0	0
Andrei Svechnikov	36%	64%	0	0
Logan Stankoven	35%	48%	1	0
Jackson Blake	34%	72%	0	1
Nikolaj Ehlers	27%	59%	0	1
Shayne Gostisbehere	22%	57%	0	0
Sean Walker	17%	45%	0	0
Jaccob Slavin	15%	30%	0	1
K'Andre Miller	14%	32%	0	0
Jordan Martinook	13%	36%	1	0
Jalen Chatfield	13%	24%	0	1
Seth Jarvis	6%	18%	0	2

The sim’s call

The Hurricanes’ most common winning score across all 100,000 runs, played out by one of them. The single likeliest final is still only a small share of runs. CBJ 2, CAR 5. 5.0% of runs ended exactly that way.

Skaters

Blue Jackets
Player	G	A	Shots
Kent Johnson	1	0	4
Matthew Knies	1	0	4
Zach Werenski	0	1	1
Charlie Coyle	0	1	0
Denton Mateychuk	0	0	3
Adam Fantilli	0	0	3

Hurricanes
Player	G	A	Shots
Nikolaj Ehlers	1	2	4
Sebastian Aho	1	1	6
Jackson Blake	1	1	6
Andrei Svechnikov	1	1	4
Logan Stankoven	1	0	3
K'Andre Miller	0	1	2
Shayne Gostisbehere	0	1	1
William Carrier	0	1	1
Sean Walker	0	1	1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	0	1	0
Jaccob Slavin	0	0	3

Goalies

Blue Jackets
Player	Shots against	Saves
Cam Talbot	33	28

Hurricanes
Player	Shots against	Saves
Pyotr Kochetkov	23	21

What went in

Shots each team takes vs. what tonight's opponent allows; finishing vs. tonight's goalies (Cam Talbot / Pyotr Kochetkov, projected); power plays at real rates. ESPN, 2026-27.
Tested on last season (Feb–Apr 2026, 449 games it never saw): 58% of winners.
100,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.

The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.