Blue Jackets @ Flyers
Simulated 100,000 times
| Team | Typical | Real · OT |
|---|---|---|
| CBJ Blue Jackets | 3 | 4 |
| PHI Flyers | 2 | 3 |
✓ The sim had it. The Blue Jackets won 51% of the runs, and won the real game, CBJ by 1.
Every run’s final margin
Typical · CBJ by 1
Real · CBJ by 1
← CBJ by 6+ 0 PHI by 6+ →
Player by player
The share of all 100,000 runs in which each player scored a goal, and had at least a point. G and A: what they really did.
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Fantilli | 32% | 41% | 1 | 1 |
| Kent Johnson | 29% | 51% | 2 | 1 |
| Zach Werenski | 27% | 65% | 0 | 2 |
| Denton Mateychuk | 25% | 35% | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Knies | 22% | 41% | 0 | 1 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 21% | 22% | 0 | 1 |
| Charlie Coyle | 20% | 66% | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Sillinger | 20% | 46% | 0 | 0 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 16% | 50% | 0 | 1 |
| Sean Monahan | 15% | 36% | 0 | 0 |
| Damon Severson | 10% | 41% | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Gudbranson | 7% | 21% | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 33% | 48% | 0 | 0 |
| Trevor Zegras | 30% | 69% | 1 | 1 |
| Tyson Foerster | 29% | 30% | 0 | 1 |
| Travis Sanheim | 25% | 51% | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Dvorak | 18% | 39% | 0 | 1 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 17% | 39% | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Couturier | 15% | 44% | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Seeler | 9% | 41% | 0 | 0 |
| Denver Barkey | 8% | 47% | 0 | 0 |
| Oliver Bonk | 8% | 47% | 0 | 1 |
| Simon Benoit | 8% | 9% | – | – |
| David Jiricek | 7% | 20% | – | – |
The typical game
Not an average: one real run out of the 100,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. CBJ 3, PHI 2.
Skaters
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Fantilli | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Denton Mateychuk | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Carson Soucy | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kent Johnson | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Cole Sillinger | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Charlie Coyle | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Zach Werenski | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Nick Seeler | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Trevor Zegras | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Christian Dvorak | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Noah Cates | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Goalies
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | 24 | 22 |
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll | 31 | 28 |
What went in
- Shots each team takes vs. what tonight's opponent allows; finishing vs. tonight's goalies (Cam Talbot / Joseph Woll, projected); power plays at real rates. ESPN, 2026-27.
- Tested on last season (Feb–Apr 2026, 449 games it never saw): 58% of winners.
- 100,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.
The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.
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