Panthers @ Jets
Simulated 100,000 times
| Team | Typical | Real |
|---|---|---|
| FLA Panthers | 4 | 5 |
| WPG Jets | 3 | 1 |
✓ The sim had it. The Panthers won 52% of the runs, and won the real game, FLA by 4.
Every run’s final margin
Typical · FLA by 1
Real · FLA by 4
← FLA by 6+ 0 WPG by 6+ →
Player by player
The share of all 100,000 runs in which each player scored a goal, and had at least a point. G and A: what they really did.
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 36% | 59% | 1 | 2 |
| Sam Reinhart | 32% | 53% | 1 | 0 |
| Sam Bennett | 25% | 44% | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 25% | 73% | 0 | 4 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 24% | 44% | 2 | 0 |
| Seth Jones | 24% | 71% | 0 | 3 |
| Anton Lundell | 22% | 37% | 0 | 0 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 15% | 17% | 0 | 0 |
| Niko Mikkola | 14% | 24% | 1 | 1 |
| Gustav Forsling | 13% | 23% | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 11% | 41% | 0 | 0 |
| Lars Eller | 10% | 45% | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 45% | 59% | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Perfetti | 33% | 52% | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Scheifele | 23% | 60% | 0 | 0 |
| Neal Pionk | 19% | 59% | 0 | 0 |
| Dawson Mercer | 19% | 49% | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 18% | 54% | 0 | 0 |
| Mario Ferraro | 15% | 17% | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Samberg | 10% | 38% | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 9% | 30% | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Lowry | 9% | 37% | 1 | 0 |
| Morgan Barron | 9% | 29% | 0 | 0 |
| Haydn Fleury | 6% | 18% | – | – |
The typical game
Not an average: one real run out of the 100,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. FLA 4, WPG 3.
Skaters
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Reinhart | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sam Bennett | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Lars Eller | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Anton Lundell | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Isak Rosen | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Mark Scheifele | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Neal Pionk | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brad Lambert | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Goalies
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | 18 | 15 |
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 32 | 28 |
What went in
- Shots each team takes vs. what tonight's opponent allows; finishing vs. tonight's goalies (Akira Schmid / Stuart Skinner, projected); power plays at real rates. ESPN, 2026-27.
- Tested on last season (Feb–Apr 2026, 449 games it never saw): 58% of winners.
- 100,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.
The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.
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