Nets @ Celtics
Simulated 10,000 times
| Team | Typical | Real · OT |
|---|---|---|
| BKN Nets | 113 | 124 |
| BOS Celtics | 126 | 125 |
✓ The sim had it. The Celtics won 78% of the runs, and won the real game, BOS by 1.
Every run’s final margin
Player by player
The bar is the middle 80% of runs, the yellow tick the median, the dot what really happened. 4 of 16 landed within 3 points of the sim.
283 of 10,000 runs went that low.
460 of 10,000 runs went that low.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
988 of 10,000 runs went that high.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
126 of 10,000 runs went that high.
94 of 10,000 runs went that low.
899 of 10,000 runs went that low.
686 of 10,000 runs went that high.
The typical game
Not an average: one real run out of the 10,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. BKN 113, BOS 126.
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 19 | 7 | 8 | 7-13 | 1-3 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 23 | 7 | 2 | 9-21 | 5-14 |
| Egor Demin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Noah Clowney | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Terance Mann | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Keon Ellis | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 8 | 11 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Traore | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Danny Wolf | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 24 | 12 | 1 | 9-14 | 4-5 |
| Derrick White | 13 | 6 | 7 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| Paul George | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7-18 | 2-6 |
| Payton Pritchard | 17 | 2 | 6 | 7-18 | 3-7 |
| Neemias Queta | 19 | 6 | 1 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Sam Hauser | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Mitchell Robinson | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Walsh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-3 |
What went in
- Players: 2025-26 play-by-play (any team) + this season, ESPN; each shot adjusted for tonight's defense.
- Out: Bilodeau · Carter.
- 10,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.
The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.
@million_runs on TikTokThe list
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