NBA Tue, Oct 27 Final

Pistons @ Knicks

Simulated 10,000 times

Team	Typical	Real
DET Pistons	105	97
NYK Knicks	110	111

DET 39% of runs won 61% NYK

✓ The sim had it. The Knicks won 61% of the runs, and won the real game, NYK by 14.

Every run’s final margin

Typical · NYK by 5

Real · NYK by 14

← DET by 30+ 0 NYK by 30+ →

Final margin in each of 10,000 runs. Taller bar, more runs ended that way.

Player by player

The bar is the middle 80% of runs, the yellow tick the median, the dot what really happened. 7 of 18 landed within 3 points of the sim.

040 SimReal

Cade Cunningham DET

24 19

John Collins DET

15 2

53 of 10,000 runs went that low.

Duncan Robinson DET

14 12

Daniss Jenkins DET

11 11

Ausar Thompson DET

10 11

Paul Reed DET

9 22

62 of 10,000 runs went that high.

Kevin Huerter DET

8 7

Taurean Prince DET

8 3

Elijah Harkless DET

6 0

470 of 10,000 runs went that low.

Jalen Brunson NYK

23 23

Karl-Anthony Towns NYK

19 27

OG Anunoby NYK

17 13

Mikal Bridges NYK

13 12

Josh Hart NYK

12 6

Miles McBride NYK

9 5

Landry Shamet NYK

8 13

Andre Drummond NYK

6 10

Tyler Kolek NYK

5 2

The typical game

Not an average: one real run out of the 10,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. DET 105, NYK 110.

Pistons
Player	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3PT
Cade Cunningham	25	11	10	9-24	6-15
Duncan Robinson	17	2	2	6-10	1-4
John Collins	10	8	2	4-6	1-1
Ausar Thompson	12	6	1	6-9	0-0
Daniss Jenkins	10	2	5	4-11	1-3
Kevin Huerter	15	1	4	6-14	3-8
Taurean Prince	7	5	1	3-8	1-4
Elijah Harkless	2	4	0	1-3	0-1
Paul Reed	7	13	2	3-7	1-1

Knicks
Player	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3PT
Jalen Brunson	25	1	6	11-23	1-3
OG Anunoby	8	4	3	3-7	2-5
Mikal Bridges	17	4	2	7-11	3-6
Josh Hart	9	4	4	4-13	1-5
Karl-Anthony Towns	21	18	4	7-10	0-0
Landry Shamet	12	2	4	4-10	1-4
Miles McBride	8	6	2	3-10	2-8
Andre Drummond	4	7	1	2-5	0-1
Tyler Kolek	6	3	3	3-6	0-1

What went in

Players: 2025-26 play-by-play (any team) + this season, ESPN; each shot adjusted for tonight's defense.
Out: Duren · Alvarado. Joe, A. Thompson (day-to-day) play.
10,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.

The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.

@million_runs on TikTok

Every run’s final margin

Player by player

The typical game

What went in

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