Pistons @ 76ers
Simulated 10,000 times
| Team | Typical | Real |
|---|---|---|
| DET Pistons | 110 | 106 |
| PHI 76ers | 111 | 93 |
✗ A miss. The 76ers won 51% of the runs, but the Pistons won the real game, DET by 13. DET won by that much or more in 22% of runs.
Every run’s final margin
Player by player
The bar is the middle 80% of runs, the yellow tick the median, the dot what really happened. 7 of 12 landed within 3 points of the sim.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
455 of 10,000 runs went that low.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
334 of 10,000 runs went that high.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
Didn’t play. The sim had them playing.
The typical game
Not an average: one real run out of the 10,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. DET 110, PHI 111.
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 24 | 11 | 7 | 11-24 | 2-6 |
| Duncan Robinson | 24 | 7 | 1 | 8-15 | 5-9 |
| John Collins | 16 | 6 | 3 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Ausar Thompson | 14 | 10 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Taurean Prince | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Kevin Huerter | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1-12 | 0-6 |
| Isaiah Joe | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Elijah Harkless | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 27 | 5 | 5 | 11-26 | 3-11 |
| Jaylen Brown | 21 | 12 | 2 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| LeBron James | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7-15 | 3-4 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-4 |
| Dean Wade | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Rayan Rupert | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Anfernee Simons | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Caleb Love | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
What went in
- Players: 2025-26 play-by-play (any team; 2024-25 too for anyone with under 20 games) + this season so far, ESPN.
- Out: Duren · Embiid, Barlow, Fall, Hukporti, Walker. Ausar Thompson (day-to-day) plays.
- 10,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.
The video and the scorecard are on TikTok.
@million_runs on TikTokThe list
Get the sims by email.
Tonight’s games and how the last ones held up, misses included. Unsubscribe anytime.