Canucks @ Ducks
Simulated 100,000 times
| Team | Typical | Real · OT |
|---|---|---|
| VAN Canucks | 3 | 6 |
| ANA Ducks | 4 | 5 |
✗ A miss. The Ducks won 61% of the runs, but the Canucks won the real game, VAN by 1. VAN won by that much or more in 39% of runs.
Every run’s final margin
Typical · ANA by 1
Real · VAN by 1
← VAN by 6+ 0 ANA by 6+ →
Player by player
The share of all 100,000 runs in which each player scored a goal, and had at least a point. G and A: what they really did.
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 25% | 48% | 0 | 0 |
| Elias Pettersson | 23% | 59% | 0 | 2 |
| Marco Rossi | 20% | 32% | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Boeser | 20% | 49% | 1 | 2 |
| Elias N. Pettersson | 18% | 25% | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Cotter | 16% | 34% | 0 | 0 |
| Drew O'Connor | 14% | 27% | 0 | 0 |
| Filip Hronek | 12% | 51% | 1 | 1 |
| Zeev Buium | 11% | 30% | 0 | 1 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 9% | 29% | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Willander | 9% | 29% | 0 | 0 |
| Filip Chytil | 8% | 22% | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Goal | Point | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 41% | 59% | 1 | 0 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 39% | 61% | 0 | 1 |
| Alex Killorn | 27% | 49% | 0 | 0 |
| Mikael Granlund | 25% | 63% | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Carlsson | 24% | 75% | 1 | 1 |
| Tyson Hinds | 19% | 21% | 0 | 0 |
| Tristan Luneau | 14% | 48% | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 11% | 66% | 0 | 3 |
| Noah Warren | 10% | 39% | 0 | 1 |
| Drew Helleson | 10% | 11% | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Jensen | 5% | 6% | – | – |
| Travis Mitchell | 5% | 17% | 0 | 0 |
The typical game
Not an average: one real run out of the 100,000, the one closest to the middle of all of them. VAN 3, ANA 4.
Skaters
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Cotter | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Linus Karlsson | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Max Sasson | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Filip Chytil | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimaki | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Elias Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Zeev Buium | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Drew O'Connor | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player | G | A | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Leo Carlsson | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Drew Helleson | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Judd Caulfield | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Alex Killorn | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mikael Granlund | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tim Washe | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Goalies
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Leevi Merilainen | 17 | 13 |
| Player | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 26 | 23 |
What went in
- Shots each team takes vs. what tonight's opponent allows; finishing vs. tonight's goalies (Leevi Merilainen / Lukas Dostal, projected); power plays at real rates. ESPN, 2026-27.
- Tested on last season (Feb–Apr 2026, 449 games it never saw): 58% of winners.
- 100,000 runs, seed 2101. Simulated, not a prediction.
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